Nexus Articles

The Potato Logic of Power

By |2026-03-24T11:06:57-10:00March 24, 2026|

Critical minerals processing remains concentrated in few hands across the Indo-Pacific, mirroring historical patterns from Europe's potato dependency to twentieth-century oil geopolitics. The question is whether dependencies formed through efficiency are recognized before disruption forces awareness. ---------------------------------------------- Strategic vulnerabilities [...]

In This Ocean, Small States Learn to Speak

By |2026-03-09T16:16:28-10:00March 9, 2026|

Port Louis | 28 February 2026:  Mauritius suspended diplomatic relations with the Maldives after Malé rejected Mauritian sovereignty over the Chagos Archipelago and objected to the UK–Mauritius transfer agreement. A dispute long expanding beneath the surface has now broken [...]

Diagnosing Strategic Miscalculation with epistemic Wargaming

By |2026-02-26T16:38:43-10:00February 26, 2026|

Executive Summary Strategic miscalculation, rather than deliberate escalation, is increasingly recognized as the dominant risk in contemporary security competition. Gray-zone coercion, administrative normalization, ambiguous signaling, and delayed consequence create environments in which capable organizations may act coherently, adapt repeatedly, [...]

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