Politics by Numbers: Counting Plato’s Shadows

By |2022-11-21T15:01:57-10:00November 21st, 2022|

By James R. SullivanWSD-Handa Fellow Abstract / Summary Stories are at the core of our understanding of humanity, as well as central to many concepts at the heart of International Relations theory. The Chinese Communist Party has been adept at story telling for many years and for many purposes inclusive of intra-elite competition, maintenance of regime support, and tactical negotiations. These stories become especially critical during periods of regime transition, as we witnessed during the recently concluded Twentieth National Party Congress. This paper leverages Natural Language Processing techniques applied to the GDELT database to quantify tones expressed on a variety of [...]

The Nature of Power: A Metcalfe’s Law National Security Strategy

By |2022-06-03T15:21:25-10:00June 2nd, 2022|

by James SullivanAbstract / Summary Comments from government officials, inclusive of United States Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and European Union Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, clearly indicate the potential end of the “Washington Consensus” around global free trade and the potential for regime change. At the same time, peer competitors such as the People’s Republic of China actively discuss “changes not seen in a century” and a goal of global leadership by 2049. Both of these facts require a discussion and reanalysis of the basis of power in the international system. Conventional wisdom holds that centralized power within an authoritarian system [...]

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