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21 - 2020

Tropical Cyclone Harold and COVID-19: Lessons from the 2010 Haiti Earthquake

By |2020-04-20T08:30:30-10:00April 20th, 2020|

In this paper, Dr. Allen states that “Recently, Tropical Cyclone (TC) Harold tracked across Tonga, Fiji, and Vanuatu. Vanuatu was hardest hit, as the storm brought winds of 200km/h, heavily impacting ~30% of the country’s population, with 80-90% of the population in one province losing their homes. Schools, hospitals, agricultural crops, and water supplies all suffered damage. In Fiji, one person was killed and widespread flooding displaced over 1,800 residents, while 428 home in Tonga were destroyed or damaged.” View/Download Document

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COVID-19, Debt, and Strategic Competition

By |2020-04-20T08:34:29-10:00April 17th, 2020|

In this paper, Dr. Oehlers states that “The current pandemic-induced economic crisis presents a unique opportunity for the United States and like-minded partners to reverse the gains China has made through its debt-led approach to acquire economic and political leverage. By addressing the debt challenges increasingly faced by some developing countries, the financial leverage China holds over any of these can be weakened significantly. Additionally, a multilateral response to the debt challenge grounded on current international rules-based norms, principles, and institutions, will counter Chinese intentions to create a parallel rival system centered on the Belt-Road Initiative. This approach will consequently [...]

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COVID-19 Lockdown Easing and Restricting Color Framework for Local Government

By |2020-04-17T17:57:32-10:00April 17th, 2020|

In this paper, Canyon states that “All indications are that many local government areas around the world will experience an extended period of COVID-19 risks and protective measures. The threat imposed by the pandemic demands a systematic approach for restricting and easing a state of lockdown that balances public health, societal, and economic needs. As is typical in a complex crisis, there are no off-the-shelf solutions, and everyone is experimenting and observing others to identify optimal responses regardless of the skeptics.” View/Download Document

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Sending the COVID-19 Immune to Work to Prevent Economic Catastrophe

By |2020-04-22T15:34:50-10:00April 16th, 2020|

Widespread introduction of commercial and societal lockdown practices is helping to flatten the curve of new coronavirus cases, while simultaneously inflicting great harm on our economy and individual finances. The global pandemic continues to spread worldwide, yet business leaders are already exerting pressure on political leaders to adapt protection measures to better protect commercial interests. Crises differ significantly in their duration, but our experience tells us they are always temporary, exceptional, and unusual. Our leaders must be prepared to effectively manage the difficult task of transitioning their communities and their nations out of the crisis and into recovery with the [...]

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China’s Global Covid-19 Assistance is Humanitarian and Geopolitical. That’s Why People are Worried.

By |2020-04-14T11:40:26-10:00April 14th, 2020|

The main thrust of the Chinese Communist Party’s domestic propaganda work since late January has focused on masking the early role of the Party in stifling public health transparency and creating the pandemic crisis. The primary propaganda message, widely disseminated in domestic state-run media, highlighted the “political and organizational advantage” of the Communist Party in tackling the health emergency once the decision to contain the crisis was made in Beijing. View/Download Document

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Plagues, Pandemics, and Global Political Change in a Historical Context

By |2020-04-14T09:15:03-10:00April 14th, 2020|

Researchers believe that the Athenian Plague might have originated in Ethiopia made its way through the Port of Piraeus, which was a primary source for food and supplies to Athens. The Spartans burned the fields around the city walls within which the Athenian population was sheltering, hence Athens had to depend on sea routes for its food supply opening up a channel for the plague contagion. Collapse of the Greek city state system was trigged by war and the plague, which ravaged the region and it caused famine and drought, and reset the political balance in the Mediterranean by ultimately [...]

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Collective Intelligence & International Coordination: Antidote for the Novel Biological Zero-Day Exploit #COVID19

By |2020-04-10T10:48:37-10:00April 10th, 2020|

Just as computer malware Duqu - using a zero-day vulnerability - had catastrophic impacts on computer systems and cyberspace, the novel coronavirus is causing the global economy to grind to a halt, debilitating our health systems and hampering the lives of those most vulnerable to the pandemic. It is a biological zero-day exploit that has infiltrated almost every aspect of our planet, one that seems to understand the world’s vulnerabilities. View/Download Document

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Perceptions of Indigenous Security Practitioners on China’s Geostrategic Activities in the Pacific

By |2020-04-10T10:53:24-10:00April 10th, 2020|

Key points Pacific Islands are struggling to rationally position themselves on a red line between the US and China, but the line is developing an edge. There is a dire need for the reinforcement of security infrastructure throughout the Pacific Pacific Islands must be proactive in preserving national sovereignty, ensuring that their international relations are only in their best interests, and protecting their limited resources View/Download Document

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Making the Most of It: China’s Military Wins the COVID-19 Fight in Wuhan

By |2020-04-06T11:01:33-10:00April 6th, 2020|

The heroic role of Chinese soldiers working inside Wuhan city during the height of the COVID-19 epidemic deserves the admiration of the Chinese people and the respect of persons outside China. Their risks and sacrifices have been well documented in Chinese media. Over past months, one could not turn the pages of a major Chinese publication without stories, photographs, videos and even cartoons detailing their important role in saving lives.1 This is the story the Chinese Communist Party wants all people, inside and outside China, to understand. If this was all there was to say, we could also be talking about [...]

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The Value of Thought Leadership in a World in Crisis

By |2020-04-03T15:28:34-10:00April 3rd, 2020|

Security professionals find themselves in increasingly more complex decision-making environments in which trust is more difficult to establish and maintain, and in which people demand higher quality and performance. Having the type of guidance provided by thought leaders is essential for them to get ahead of challenges, to achieve a competitive advantage, and to be more relevant to the real-world. View/Download Document

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